A trader on Polymarket made a $400,000 profit by betting on Nicolás Maduro's capture shortly before the U.S. operation was announced, raising questions about potential insider trading. Experts are divided on whether the trader had access to classified information, highlighting the regulatory challenges in monitoring prediction markets compared to traditional financial markets. Concerns about political connections, particularly with the Trump administration, further complicate oversight and enforcement of insider trading rules.

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, is investing up to $2 billion in the crypto-based prediction marketplace Polymarket, valuing it at approximately $8 billion. This partnership aims to legitimize prediction markets and expand their reach, particularly in the U.S. market, where Polymarket has faced regulatory challenges.

Prediction market platform Kalshi has secured $300 million in funding, raising its valuation to $5 billion and enabling plans for expansion into over 140 countries. The company has seen significant growth, surpassing rival Polymarket in weekly transactions, as it capitalizes on the popularity of prediction markets, particularly in sports. Meanwhile, Polymarket is preparing to re-enter the U.S. market after regulatory challenges.

Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction markets platform, has received approval from the CFTC to operate in the United States. The ruling follows a no-action letter regarding swap data reporting and recordkeeping regulations, paving the way for Polymarket's entry after a prior federal investigation was dropped.

Polymarket is planning to return to the U.S. after acquiring QCEX, enabling American users to trade prediction market contracts with regulatory compliance. The platform gained popularity during the 2024 presidential election but had been restricted from operating in the U.S. for several years. CEO Shayne Coplan emphasized the goal of becoming a fully regulated platform, potentially impacting the U.S. sports betting landscape.

Shayne Coplan, founder and CEO of Polymarket, has become the youngest self-made billionaire following a $2 billion investment from the Intercontinental Exchange at an $8 billion valuation. The platform, which allows users to wager on real-world outcomes using cryptocurrency, gained significant traction during the 2024 U.S. presidential election, despite facing regulatory challenges and penalties in the past. With a recent acquisition of a licensed exchange, Polymarket is now positioned as a legitimate player in the gambling and financial forecasting industries.

The NHL has entered into multiyear deals with prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, marking a significant move in the sports betting landscape as these markets gain traction. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, these platforms operate legally in all 50 states, and the NHL aims to ensure game integrity through this partnership, despite concerns from industry groups about the legality and implications of such markets.

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, plans to invest up to $2 billion in Polymarket, valuing the prediction market at approximately $8 billion. This significant investment aims to bolster Polymarket's credibility and assist in its efforts to re-establish a presence in the U.S. market.

Polymarket is set to raise $200 million in a new funding round that will value the platform at $1 billion, led by Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund. Despite facing regulatory challenges that resulted in banning US customers, Polymarket has maintained significant activity, particularly during the 2024 US presidential election, and is expanding its offerings through a partnership with Elon Musk's social network, X. The platform's cumulative betting volume is approaching $14.8 billion, with a notable decrease in user activity recently.

Polymarket is exploring a financing round that could value the company between $9 billion and $10 billion, while Kalshi is nearing a $5 billion valuation for its upcoming fundraising. Both prediction market platforms are experiencing increased activity, with Polymarket set to relaunch in the U.S. after receiving approval from the CFTC.

Kalshi has successfully closed a $185 million funding round as it continues to compete in the prediction market space against rival Polymarket, which is reportedly seeking $200 million in its own funding efforts. The investment will help Kalshi expand its platform and services amid growing interest in prediction markets.

Kalshi has significantly outperformed Polymarket in the prediction market sector, capturing 62% of the total trading volume in the U.S. from September 11 to 17, with over $500 million in weekly trading volume. While Polymarket has made moves to re-enter the U.S. market by acquiring QCX and launching new markets, Kalshi's faster trading pace indicates a stronger current user engagement.

Polymarket has secured a $2 billion investment from the Intercontinental Exchange, valuing the company at $9 billion and marking its transition into mainstream finance. The partnership aims to integrate prediction markets into traditional finance and explore tokenization initiatives, reflecting a growing interest in prediction markets among investors.

Polymarket has achieved a milestone with 13,800 new markets created in August as it prepares to re-enter the U.S. market following a favorable ruling from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Despite this growth, overall trading volume has declined, with active traders at their lowest levels since last October.